What stats would you need for this to be a reasonable school list?

I've just been told by friends not to spend money and time on applications to school I wouldn't want to go to even if I were accepted there (e.g. NJMS). Also, I'm pretty sure schools that are lower tier (e.g. Georgetown, GWU) would reject me or waitlist me automatically out of yield protection, because it happens to students from my school with similar stats. So I dunno really where to apply.

And, no, I think my ECs are strong - lots of leadership, interesting experiences both on and off campus, long-term commitment, and meaningful lessons gained that I can speak personably about in an interview.

Also, are the LizzyM scorers with 74+ shut out from reputable undergrads? Because I think it makes a pretty significant difference depending where they come from.

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What stats would you need for this to be a reasonable school list?