Odds of matching without publications, abstracts, or poster presentations?

I'm an American IMG studying in Ireland. I've done research at Hopkins, UCSF, and Harvard, but due to sheer luck I don't have any publications, poster presentations, or abstracts. I'd say my LORs from those programs would be OK/average, but not spectacular. I have very good extracurriculars though (including a national leadership position and a TEDx talk if that counts for anything). Can I still match without any publications, if my leadership is good? I'm interested in paeds, ob/gyn, or...

Odds of matching without publications, abstracts, or poster presentations?

Odds of matching without publications, abstracts, or poster presentations?